Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.193856 0.224918 0.259377 0.300447 0.348080 0.401606 0.466353
2025-06-01 0.146935 0.188899 0.240413 0.308345 0.395663 0.504274 0.649880
2025-06-08 0.119748 0.165155 0.224901 0.309352 0.425856 0.581253 0.804889
2025-06-15 0.102844 0.150205 0.216148 0.314797 0.458981 0.662609 0.973180
2025-06-22 0.086923 0.133388 0.201319 0.308050 0.472039 0.715378 1.105677
2025-06-29 0.075547 0.121171 0.190848 0.305235 0.489030 0.774115 1.252503
2025-07-06 0.067410 0.112573 0.184352 0.307012 0.512336 0.843993 1.424048
2025-07-13 0.063200 0.109576 0.186065 0.321745 0.557685 0.953463 1.672887
2025-07-20 0.058822 0.105621 0.185524 0.332294 0.596775 1.056380 1.922559
2025-07-27 0.054892 0.101870 0.184736 0.342043 0.635201 1.161908 2.189012
2025-08-03 0.050447 0.096587 0.180522 0.344895 0.661125 1.247505 2.428559
2025-08-10 0.045627 0.089983 0.173069 0.340664 0.672991 1.307991 2.626946
2025-08-17 0.040454 0.082174 0.162635 0.329805 0.671453 1.344140 2.785050
2025-08-24 0.038043 0.079556 0.161955 0.338210 0.709313 1.461934 3.123800
2025-08-31 0.035133 0.075544 0.157988 0.339322 0.732161 1.551744 3.414925
2025-09-07 0.033005 0.072897 0.156470 0.345299 0.765795 1.667415 3.775607
2025-09-14 0.029916 0.067794 0.149188 0.337893 0.769346 1.719038 4.000403
2025-09-21 0.027519 0.063935 0.144140 0.334803 0.782050 1.791921 4.282395
2025-09-28 0.025746 0.061285 0.141459 0.336754 0.806455 1.893713 4.644612
2025-10-05 0.025127 0.061257 0.144709 0.352926 0.866176 2.083661 5.242791
2025-10-12 0.024219 0.060425 0.145989 0.364506 0.916155 2.256181 5.819596
2025-10-19 0.023307 0.059475 0.146875 0.375208 0.965206 2.431970 6.426860
2025-10-26 0.022017 0.057423 0.144850 0.378339 0.995437 2.564449 6.938282